── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jurij Rodionov
Yoshihito Nishioka
41%59%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 58% / 42%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
AUT
country
JPN
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jurij RodionovYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-06Davis Cup QLS R1: JPN vs AUTHardRRJurij Rodionov5-7 6-1 6-0