── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jordan Thompson 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jurij Rodionov
Jordan Thompson
34%66%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jurij Rodionov
12th · poor
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Return
Jurij Rodionov
18th · poor
Jordan Thompson
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#150
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jurij Rodionov■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-05Noumea CHHardQFJurij Rodionov6-4 6-4
2017-10-16Ningbo CHHardQFJurij Rodionov3-6 7-6(5) 6-4