── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jurij Rodionov
Jordan Thompson
30%70%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#155
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jurij Rodionov■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Noumea CH | Hard | QF | Jurij Rodionov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-10-16 | Ningbo CH | Hard | QF | Jurij Rodionov | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |