── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jurij Rodionov
Valentin Vacherot
17%83%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 72% / 28%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
MON
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jurij RodionovValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-01Cassis CHHardQFJurij Rodionov6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayQ1Valentin Vacherot6-3 2-6 6-2