── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jacob Fearnley 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jurij Rodionov
Jacob Fearnley
36%64%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jurij Rodionov
13th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
11th · poor
Return
Jurij Rodionov
18th · poor
Jacob Fearnley
91th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#91
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
GBR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jurij Rodionov■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | US Open | Hard | Q3 | Jurij Rodionov | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
