── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jurij Rodionov a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jurij Rodionov
Shintaro Mochizuki
55%45%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jurij Rodionov
13th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Jurij Rodionov
18th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#149
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
JPN
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jurij Rodionov■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Davis Cup QLS R1: JPN vs AUT | Hard | RR | Jurij Rodionov | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | Q1 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-2 4-6 6-2 |
| 2025-02-17 | Pune CH | Hard | R32 | Jurij Rodionov | 6-7(5) 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-12-30 | Noumea CH | Hard | SF | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-3 6-3 |