── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Royer 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jurij Rodionov
Valentin Royer
38%62%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
AUT
country
FRA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jurij RodionovValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13Oeiras 3 CHClayR16Valentin Royer3-6 6-4 7-5
2024-01-29Koblenz CHHardR16Jurij Rodionov7-6(4) 6-1