── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Patrick Kypson 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Patrick Kypson
Bernard Tomic
71%29%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 25% / 75%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Patrick Kypson
61th · average
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Return
Patrick Kypson
23th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#111
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Patrick KypsonBernard Tomic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ1Bernard Tomic6-4 6-4
2024-10-28Charlottesville CHHardR32Patrick Kypson6-3 6-0