── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Holt a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Brandon Holt
Yosuke Watanuki
51%49%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Brandon Holt
8th · poor
Yosuke Watanuki
14th · poor
Return
Brandon Holt
24th · below avg
Yosuke Watanuki
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#159
model rank
#164
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Brandon HoltYosuke Watanuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-21Gwangju CHHardQFYosuke Watanuki7-5 7-6(2)
2024-02-19Los CabosHardQ2Brandon Holt6-4 6-3