── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Stan Wawrinka
60%40%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SUI
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-29 | Aix-en-Provence CH | Clay | R16 | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-07-24 | Umag | Clay | F | Alexei Popyrin | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |