── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Kamil Majchrzak
41%59%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#90
model rank
#60
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POL
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexei Popyrin■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Alexei Popyrin3-6 6-3 7-5
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayQ1Kamil Majchrzak7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3
2018-02-12Cherbourg CHHardR32Alexei Popyrin6-3 2-1 RET