── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Kamil Majchrzak
49%51%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 29% / 71%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#72
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POL
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexei PopyrinKamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Alexei Popyrin3-6 6-3 7-5
2021-05-10Rome MastersClayQ1Kamil Majchrzak7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3
2018-02-12Cherbourg CHHardR32Alexei Popyrin6-3 2-1 RET