── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Alexandre Muller
64%36%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexandre Muller | 2-6 6-3 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) |
| 2020-10-05 | Parma CH | Clay | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 6-4 |