── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Alejandro Tabilo
33%67%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
CHI
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexei PopyrinAlejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR64Alexei Popyrin7-5 6-3 6-4