── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Alejandro Tabilo
35%65%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#90
model rank
#38
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
CHI
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Tabilo | 2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-5 6-3 6-4 |