── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Carlos Taberner
65%35%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Carlos Taberner
3th · poor
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Carlos Taberner
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#136
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Carlos Taberner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2022-05-09 | Bordeaux CH | Clay | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |