── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexei Popyrin 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Aleksandar Vukic
70%30%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#152
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexei PopyrinAleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR32Alexei Popyrin6-2 6-7(9) 7-6(3)