── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Mikael Ymer
82%18%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Mikael Ymer
3th · poor
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Mikael Ymer
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#90
model rank
#185
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SWE
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Mikael Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-6(5) 4-4 RET |
| 2023-03-13 | Phoenix CH | Hard | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-2 6-2 |