── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Yibing Wu a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Yibing Wu
49%51%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Yibing Wu
37th · below avg
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Yibing Wu
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#90
model rank
#85
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CHN
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Yibing Wu
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Yibing Wu | 7-5 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | Q2 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |