── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Emil Ruusuvuori
74%26%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Emil Ruusuvuori
37th · below avg
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Emil Ruusuvuori
34th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#162
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FIN
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Emil Ruusuvuori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-2 1-6 6-3 |