── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Jacob Fearnley
72%28%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#75
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GBR
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings