── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexei Popyrin
Roman Andres Burruchaga
54%46%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#90
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexei Popyrin■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Alexei Popyrin | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |