── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jakub Mensik 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Jakub Mensik
24%76%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Return
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#13
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CZE
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexei PopyrinJakub Mensik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Hard02
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Alexei Popyrin6-3 2-6 6-4
2026-02-23DubaiHardR16Jakub Mensik6-3 6-2
2024-10-21ViennaHardR32Jakub Mensik7-6(3) 6-2
2024-07-22UmagClayR32Jakub Mensik6-3 6-2