── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexei Popyrin 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexei Popyrin
Martin Landaluce
60%40%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Martin Landaluce
20th · below avg
Return
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Martin Landaluce
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#90
model rank
#133
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexei Popyrin■ Martin Landaluce
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Alexei Popyrin7-6(3) 6-3