── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Gael Monfils
74%26%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 2-6 6-4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Gael Monfils | 7-6(2) 7-6(4) |