── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Vasek Pospisil
96%4%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Vasek Pospisil
12th · poor
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Vasek Pospisil
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#181
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CAN
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Vasek Pospisil
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 2-1 RET |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2019-11-04 | Knoxville CH | Hard | R32 | Vasek Pospisil | 6-4 6-4 |