── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Marcos Giron
73%27%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2022-10-17 | Antwerp | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-7(0) 6-4 |
| 2020-01-27 | Newport Beach CH | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 3-6 7-6(5) |
| 2019-04-15 | Sarasota CH | Clay | QF | Marcos Giron | 6-1 6-4 |