── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Thanasi Kokkinakis
87%13%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#149
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 3-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | QF | Sebastian Korda | W/O |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 RET |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-02-14 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 6-1 |