── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Mackenzie Mcdonald
84%16%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 7-5 6-4 |