── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Kamil Majchrzak
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
49th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 |