── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Kamil Majchrzak
70%30%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#14
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Korda■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13StockholmHardR16Sebastian Korda6-4 4-6 7-5
2025-08-17Winston-SalemHardR16Sebastian Korda6-7(3) 6-3 6-4