── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Cameron Norrie
62%38%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Cameron Norrie | 7-5 6-4 RET |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | Grass | QF | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 7-6(1) |
| 2022-02-14 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 1-6 7-6(4) |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-0 6-4 |
| 2021-01-04 | Delray Beach | Hard | SF | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 7-5 |