── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Taylor Fritz
50%50%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 28% / 72%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#16
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian KordaTaylor Fritz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Clay02
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardQFTaylor Fritz6-7(2) 6-4 7-6(5)
2025-09-24TokyoHardQFTaylor Fritz6-3 6-7(5) 6-3
2024-08-05Canada MastersHardR32Sebastian Korda6-4 7-6(4)
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR32Taylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersClayR16Taylor Fritz7-6(4) 7-5