── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66%34%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GRE
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-6(5) 6-3 |