── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Aleksandar Vukic
85%15%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#144
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 3-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-3 4-6 7-6(5) |
| 2019-07-15 | Nur-Sultan CH | Hard | SF | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2019-04-15 | Sarasota CH | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-4 2-6 6-4 |