── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Jaume Munar
66%34%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Jaume Munar
55th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Jaume Munar
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#16
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian KordaJaume Munar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR32Jaume Munar6-4 6-2
2022-10-10GijonHardR32Sebastian Korda6-4 6-1