── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
83%17%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#132
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 6-0 6-3 |