── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
76%24%
Hard: 88% / 12%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 6-0 6-3 |