── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Adam Walton
77%23%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#16
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian KordaAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17HangzhouHardR32Sebastian Korda7-5 6-3