── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Adam Walton
81%19%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Adam Walton
44th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Adam Walton
52th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#14
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Korda■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17HangzhouHardR32Sebastian Korda7-5 6-3