── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Valentin Vacherot
59%41%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(1) 6-3 |