── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Francisco Comesana
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Francisco Comesana
42th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Francisco Comesana
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#14
model rank
#139
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
196cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Korda■ Francisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Sebastian Korda7-5 6-0