── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Flavio Cobolli
56%44%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | SF | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | F | Sebastian Korda | 4-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 |