── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Flavio Cobolli
64%36%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | SF | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(1) 6-1 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | F | Sebastian Korda | 4-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Sebastian Korda | 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4 |