── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Valentin Royer
81%19%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#114
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q2 | Sebastian Korda | 6-2 5-7 6-4 |