── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Valentin Royer
82%18%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q2 | Sebastian Korda | 6-2 5-7 6-4 |