── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Korda
Luciano Darderi
62%38%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#16
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian KordaLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Sebastian Korda6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2