── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Luciano Darderi
66%34%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Korda | 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
