── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Michael Zheng
78%22%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Michael Zheng
19th · poor
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Michael Zheng
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#97
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Michael Zheng
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Michael Zheng | 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-7(0) 6-3 |