── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Alex Michelsen
56%44%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#14
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 7-6(7) |