── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Korda
Alex Michelsen
67%33%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#16
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Korda■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Alex Michelsen | 6-3 7-6(7) |