── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adrian Mannarino a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Adrian Mannarino
47%53%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sho ShimabukuroAdrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23AcapulcoHardR32Sho Shimabukuro6-3 6-4