── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sho Shimabukuro a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Bernard Tomic
54%46%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 59% / 41%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardQ2Sho Shimabukuro6-3 6-3