── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Bernard Tomic
65%35%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Bernard Tomic
9th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#175
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sho ShimabukuroBernard Tomic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardQ2Sho Shimabukuro6-3 6-3