── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Nick Kyrgios
71%29%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Nick Kyrgios
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#187
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Nick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-11StuttgartGrassR16Sho Shimabukuro4-6 7-6(5) 6-4