── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Yoshihito Nishioka
47%53%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
JPN
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sho ShimabukuroYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-12Sumter CHHardR32Sho Shimabukuro6-3 7-5