── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Elias Ymer
62%38%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#168
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
SWE
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Birmingham CH | Grass | R16 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-10-27 | Seoul CH | Hard | SF | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q3 | Elias Ymer | 7-6(3) 6-3 6-1 |