── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sho Shimabukuro 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Hugo Grenier
60%40%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Hugo Grenier
7th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Hugo Grenier
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#165
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
FRA
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | Matsuyama CH | Hard | QF | Sho Shimabukuro | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |