── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tallon Griekspoor 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Tallon Griekspoor
29%71%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#155
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
NED
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-16HalleGrassR32Sho Shimabukuro6-4 3-6 6-4
2023-09-25AstanaHardR16Tallon Griekspoor7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-1