── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adam Walton 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sho Shimabukuro
Adam Walton
37%63%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
18th · poor
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
21th · below avg
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sho ShimabukuroAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Delray BeachHardQ2Sho Shimabukuro6-3 6-4