── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jurij Rodionov a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sho Shimabukuro
Jurij Rodionov
47%53%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Jurij Rodionov
13th · poor
Return
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Jurij Rodionov
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#155
model rank
#149
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
AUT
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sho Shimabukuro■ Jurij Rodionov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Stuttgart | Grass | Q2 | Sho Shimabukuro | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-11-11 | Kobe CH | Hard | QF | Jurij Rodionov | 6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(3) |
| 2024-10-28 | Seoul CH | Hard | R16 | Jurij Rodionov | 7-6(3) 7-6(2) |